Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Most likely right now
No Meeting by September 30
2.978%
PoliticsVol $16KTotal volume $5.1MLiquidity $781Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No Meeting by September 30
77.6%
2.9
Switzerland
9.50%
Pakistan
4.20%
1.2
Qatar
3.55%
1.1
Oman
1.60%
Austria
1.00%
1.1
Egypt
0.85%
Other - Europe
0.85%
Turkey
0.65%
USA
0.45%
Other
0.35%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
0.30%
Italy
0.25%
Saudi Arabia
0.20%
Iraq
0.20%
UAE
0.05%
Iran
0.05%
Kazakhstan
0.05%
Russia
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.