Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
Polymarket traders put "Google" at 42.5% on "Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?". $3.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
Google
–43%
TechVol $3.4KTotal volume $3.3KLiquidity $12Kin 2 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Sep 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Google
42.5%
–
Microsoft
36.5%
–
SpaceXAI
32.5%
–
Meta
14.5%
–
Amazon
11.5%
–
Z.ai
7.50%
–
Baidu
7.50%
–
Mistral
7.00%
–
Meituan
7.00%
–
ByteDance
6.50%
–
Alibaba
5.50%
–
DeepSeek
5.50%
–
Moonshot
4.45%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
