Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Most likely right now
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
–97%
PoliticsVol $1.3KTotal volume $496KLiquidity $326KComments 122in 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
96.5%
–
Flavio Bolsonaro
91.5%
–
Renan Santos
4.50%
–
Romeu Zema
2.50%
–
Michelle Bolsonaro
1.70%
–
Ronaldo Caiado
1.40%
–
Tarcisio de Frietas
0.85%
–
Jair Bolsonaro
0.80%
–
Fernando Haddad
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
