Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Most likely right now
Tampa, FL
95%
TechVol $385Total volume $15KLiquidity $5.5Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Tampa, FL
95.0%
San Diego, CA
93.0%
0.5
Las Vegas, NV
84.0%
Denver, CO
73.0%
4.0
Charlotte, NC
59.5%
1.0
Detroit, MI
53.5%
6.0
St. Louis, MO
46.0%
10.5
Tokyo, Japan
45.5%
1.5
Philadelphia, PA
45.0%
3.5
Sacramento, CA
41.0%
16.5
London, UK
40.5%
16.5
Chicago, IL
38.5%
2.0
New York, NY
31.0%
Baltimore, MD
25.0%
Minneapolis, MN
19.5%
Washington, DC
19.5%
1.5
Seattle, WA
16.5%
Portland, OR
10.5%
Boston, MA
9.50%
0.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.