Which companies added to S&P 500 in Q4 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Okta (OKTA)" at 46.5% on "Which companies added to S&P 500 in Q4 2026?". $13K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 12 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Okta (OKTA)
–47%
EconomyVol $13KTotal volume $13KLiquidity $6.7Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Okta (OKTA)
46.5%
–
Cheniere Energy (LNG)
42.0%
–
Astera Labs (ALAB)
29.5%
–
Credo Technology (CRDO)
27.5%
–
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
18.0%
–
HEICO (HEI)
13.0%
–
SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
11.5%
–
MongoDB (MDB)
10.5%
–
Rocket Companies (RKT)
10.0%
–
Affirm Holdings (AFRM)
7.00%
–
Medline (MDLN)
6.25%
–
Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)
2.95%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.