Which company has the best AI model on December 15?

Polymarket traders put "Google" at 71.5% on "Which company has the best AI model on December 15?". $3.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 16.

Most likely right now
Google
–72%
TechVol $3.8KTotal volume $3.8KLiquidity $25Kin 1 months (Dec 16)
Current probability

Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Google
71.5%
–
Anthropic
16.5%
–
Meituan
12.5%
–
SpaceXAI
10.5%
–
Tencent
10.5%
–
DeepSeek
10.0%
–
StepFun
10.0%
–
Z.ai
8.00%
–
Microsoft
6.25%
–
Alibaba
5.50%
–
Nvidia
5.50%
–
MiniMax
5.00%
–
Baidu
4.45%
–
ByteDance
4.15%
–
Meta
3.75%
–
OpenAI
3.35%
–
Thinky
3.20%
–
Moonshot
3.00%
–
Xiaomi
2.75%
–
Amazon
2.05%
–
Mistral
1.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.