Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?
Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 54.5% on "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?". $1.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Anthropic
–55%
TechVol $1.0KTotal volume $1.0KLiquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthropic
54.5%
–
Z.ai
43.7%
–
Moonshot
43.1%
–
Alibaba
41.0%
–
Meta
39.8%
–
MiniMax
27.5%
–
OpenAI
22.0%
–
Meituan
22.0%
–
Tencent
18.0%
–
DeepSeek
15.5%
–
ByteDance
6.30%
–
Google
6.15%
–
Baidu
6.15%
–
Amazon
6.15%
–
Nvidia
6.15%
–
Thinky
6.15%
–
Xiaomi
6.10%
–
SpaceXAI
6.10%
–
StepFun
6.00%
–
Mistral
5.65%
–
Microsoft
5.60%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
