Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 69.5% on "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?". There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
Anthropic
70%
TechVol -Total volume $7.8KLiquidity $8.4Kin 2 months (Oct 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Anthropic
69.5%
OpenAI
26.0%
0.5
Mistral
2.60%
0.7
DeepSeek
2.35%
1.4
Z.ai
1.75%
Meta
1.50%
0.9
Google
1.50%
Baidu
0.60%
SpaceXAI
0.60%
Amazon
0.60%
Nvidia
0.60%
Thinky
0.60%
MiniMax
0.60%
Xiaomi
0.55%
Microsoft
0.40%
Meituan
0.35%
Alibaba
0.15%
Moonshot
0.15%
ByteDance
0.15%
Tencent
0.15%
StepFun
0.15%

Probability over time

Anthropic
OpenAI
Mistral
DeepSeek
Z.ai
Meta
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.