Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

Polymarket traders put "Google" at 37.5% on "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?". Up 12.0%p from yesterday. $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
Google
▲12.038%
TechVol $1.8KTotal volume $1.8KLiquidity $3.4Kin 2 months (Dec 1)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Google
37.5%
▲12.0
Anthropic
35.0%
▲9.5
SpaceXAI
26.7%
▼8.8
Baidu
25.5%
▼10.0
Amazon
25.0%
▼24.5
Meta
24.3%
▼25.2
Z.ai
23.3%
▼26.8
Alibaba
22.8%
▼12.7
Moonshot
22.8%
▼2.7
OpenAI
16.5%
▼9.0
DeepSeek
16.2%
▼9.3
Microsoft
14.6%
▼10.9
ByteDance
14.4%
▼21.1
Nvidia
14.1%
▼21.4
Meituan
13.3%
▼36.2
MiniMax
12.8%
▼12.7
Xiaomi
12.6%
▼37.0
StepFun
12.4%
▼37.0
Tencent
4.45%
▼45.1
Mistral
4.00%
▼45.5
Thinky
3.65%
▼21.9

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.