Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "None in 2026" at 76.0% on "Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?". There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
None in 2026
–76%
TechVol -Total volume $132KLiquidity $13KComments 3in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
None in 2026
76.0%
–
Anthropic
13.5%
–
Google
9.85%
–
OpenAI
2.55%
–
xAI
0.55%
–
Alibaba
0.30%
–
DeepSeek
0.25%
–
Z.ai
0.25%
–
Mistral
0.05%
–
Probability over time
None in 2026
Anthropic
Google
OpenAI
xAI
Alibaba
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
