Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "None in 2026" at 84.5% on "Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
None in 2026
▼0.585%
TechVol -Total volume $117KLiquidity $26KComments 3in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
None in 2026
84.5%
▼0.5
Anthropic
12.5%
▲0.5
Google
3.45%
–
OpenAI
1.75%
–
xAI
0.55%
–
DeepSeek
0.05%
–
Alibaba
0.05%
–
Z.ai
0.05%
–
Mistral
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
