Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?

Most likely right now
James Ho
9.025%
OtherVol $160Total volume $3.4KLiquidity $6.8KComments 1in 2.4 years (Jan 19)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
James Ho
24.5%
9.0
Amul Thapar
21.0%
1.0
Andrew Oldham
12.0%
Patrick Bumatay
10.8%
Ted Cruz
9.70%
4.4
Steven Menashi
9.05%
0.6
Aileen Cannon
8.50%
5.5
Neomi Rao
8.00%
0.5
Mike Lee
5.95%
0.5
Gregory Katsas
5.30%
2.1
John Sauer
4.20%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.