Who will Trump speak to in August?

Most likely right now
Friedrich Merz
3.053%
PoliticsVol $3.9KTotal volume $61KLiquidity $160Kin 6 days (Aug 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Friedrich Merz
53.0%
3.0
Elon Musk
44.0%
8.0
Andy Burnham
35.5%
9.0
Emmanuel Macron
27.5%
6.0
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
20.5%
16.0
Vladimir Putin
18.0%
0.5
Ursula von der Leyen
17.0%
1.5
Xi Jinping
14.0%
3.5
Ahmed al-Sharaa
12.0%
2.0
Reza Pahlavi
4.55%
2.1
Miguel Díaz-Canel
3.25%
0.8
Masoud Pezeshkian
2.90%
Pope Leo XIV
2.55%
Kim Jong Un
2.20%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1.25%
Nicolás Maduro
1.10%
Yoon Suk Yeol
0.85%
Maria Corina Machado
0.40%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.