Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "#3" at 23.0% on "Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. $488 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
#3
▼3.523%
TechVol $488Total volume $272KLiquidity $20KComments 3in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
#3
23.0%
▼3.5
#1
7.50%
–

Probability over time

#3
#1
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.