Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "1560" at 52.5% on "Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?". Up 12.5%p from yesterday. $285 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
1560
▲12.553%
TechVol $285Total volume $236KLiquidity $5.1Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
1560
52.5%
▲12.5
1580
16.0%
▲0.5
1600
6.10%
–

Probability over time

1560
1580
1600
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.