Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "1560" at 40.5% on "Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?". $540 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
1560
41%
TechVol $540Total volume $188KLiquidity $6.5Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
1560
40.5%
1580
21.5%
3.0
1600
13.0%

Probability over time

1560
1580
1600
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.