Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "1575" at 42.5% on "Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $223 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
1575
▼2.043%
TechVol $223Total volume $140KLiquidity $2.2Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
1575
42.5%
▼2.0
1600
10.8%
–

Probability over time

1575
1600
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.