Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?" at 9.5%. Up 0.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
▲0.510%
TechVol -Total volume $1.5KLiquidity $301in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
9.50%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
