Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?" at 8.5%. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
9%
TechVol -Total volume $1.2KLiquidity $302in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
8.50%

Probability over time

Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.