Will Iran target a Arab country on...?
Most likely right now
August 17
–100%
PoliticsVol $17KTotal volume $675KLiquidity $642KComments 167in 7 days (Aug 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
August 17
100.0%
–
August 30
13.5%
▲2.5
August 31
10.5%
▼0.5
August 29
7.50%
▲0.5
August 25
6.00%
▲0.5
August 26
5.50%
▼1.0
August 28
5.50%
▼0.5
August 27
4.90%
–
August 24
1.30%
▼4.5
August 23
0.70%
▼1.2
August 22
0.45%
–
August 21
0.05%
–
August 20
0.00%
▼1.3
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
