Will Iran target Iraq by...?
Polymarket traders put "September 30" at 60.5% on "Will Iran target Iraq by...?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $18 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
September 30
▲1.061%
PoliticsVol $18Total volume $18Liquidity $8.7Kin 17 days (Sep 30)
Current probability
Sep 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
September 30
60.5%
▲1.0
September 15
13.0%
▼34.0
Probability over time
September 30
September 15
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-09-14 · y-axis %
