Will Iran target Jordan by...?

Most likely right now
September 30
1.538%
PoliticsVol $41KTotal volume $44KLiquidity $16Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 30
37.5%
1.5
September 15
26.5%
0.5
August 31
7.50%
1.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.