Will Iran target Ukraine by...?

Most likely right now
September 30
2%
PoliticsVol $4.7KTotal volume $479KLiquidity $74KComments 16in 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 30
1.70%
August 31
0.45%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.