Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?

Most likely right now
December 31
2.590%
PoliticsVol $237Total volume $208KLiquidity $8.3KComments 4in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
90.0%
2.5
October 31
67.0%
1.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.