Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
Most likely right now
August 25
▲70.597%
PoliticsVol $10KTotal volume $64KLiquidity $85Kin 6 days (Aug 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
August 25
97.0%
▲70.5
August 27
58.5%
▲20.5
August 29
42.5%
▲4.5
August 28
42.0%
▲6.5
August 26
40.5%
▲2.5
August 31
34.5%
▼2.5
August 30
34.0%
▼3.0
August 24
10.4%
▼44.5
August 23
6.65%
▼15.3
August 15
1.15%
–
August 17
0.55%
–
August 21
0.50%
–
August 14
0.30%
–
August 13
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
