Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Polymarket traders put "Will Tesla release Optimus by...?" at 7.4%. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
–7%
TechVol -Total volume $130KLiquidity $11KComments 16in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
7.45%
–

Probability over time

December 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.