Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Most likely right now
August 24
8.9100%
PoliticsVol $311KTotal volume $519KLiquidity $58Kin 7 days (Sep 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
August 24
100.0%
8.9
August 31
91.5%
August 28
91.0%
1.5
August 29
90.5%
0.5
August 25
89.5%
1.0
August 26
89.0%
2.5
August 27
89.0%
1.5
August 30
84.0%
3.5
August 23
7.15%
68.3

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.