Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "1.2m" at 54.5% on "Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $39 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.

Most likely right now
1.2m
▼0.555%
EconomyVol $39Total volume $188KLiquidity $2.3KComments 8in 5 months (Mar 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
1.2m
54.5%
▼0.5
1.5m
16.0%
▼17.6
1.4m
12.1%
▼2.1
2m
2.95%
–
1.7m
2.85%
–

Probability over time

1.2m
1.5m
1.4m
2m
1.7m
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.