Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

Most likely right now
Crowley wins
99%
PoliticsVol $68Total volume $218KLiquidity $187KComments 5Closed (Aug 11)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Crowley wins
99.1%
Hong 5–10%
0.40%
Hong 25–30%
0.30%
Hong 30%+
0.20%
Hong 20–25%
0.05%
Hong 15–20%
0.05%
Hong 10–15%
0.05%
Hong <5%
0.05%
Barnes wins
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.