ポリマーケット 政治 の確率

政治分野で公開中のポリマーケット市場2,403件です。取引額の大きい順に並べています。

1601
RI-01 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party5.50%
1602
RI-02 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party94%
Republican Party6.50%
1603
SC-03 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party95%
Democratic Party5.50%
1604
SC-04 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party0.592%
Democratic Party6.50%
1605
SC-05 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party91%
Democratic Party7.50%
1606
SC-06 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party94%
Republican Party5.50%
1607
SC-07 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party93%
Democratic Party6.50%
1608
SD-AL House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party94%
Democratic Party3.85%
1609
TN-01 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party95%
Democratic Party4.15%
1610
TN-02 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party95%
Democratic Party5.50%
1611
TN-03 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party94%
Democratic Party5.50%
1612
TN-04 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party93%
Democratic Party7.50%
1613
TN-06 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party94%
Democratic Party6.50%
1614
TN-07 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party88%
Democratic Party11%
1615
TN-08 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party93%
Democratic Party5.65%
1616
TN-09 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party84%
Democratic Party16%
1617
TX-01 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party95%
Democratic Party4.50%
1618
TX-02 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party89%
Democratic Party9.50%
1619
TX-04 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party93%
Democratic Party6.50%
1620
TX-05 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party92%
Democratic Party7.50%
1621
TX-06 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party91%
Democratic Party8.85%
1622
TX-07 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party5.50%
1623
TX-08 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party94%
Democratic Party5.50%
1624
TX-11 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party94%
Democratic Party5.50%
1625
TX-12 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party91%
Democratic Party8.50%
1626
TX-13 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party95%
Democratic Party5.50%
1627
TX-14 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party93%
Democratic Party6.50%
1628
TX-16 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party0.594%
Republican Party5.50%
1629
TX-17 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party93%
Democratic Party7.00%
1630
TX-20 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party5.50%
1631
TX-22 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party93%
Democratic Party7.50%
1632
TX-24 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party86%
Democratic Party14%
1633
TX-25 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party0.589%
Democratic Party12%
1634
TX-27 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party91%
Democratic Party8.95%
1635
TX-29 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party5.50%
1636
TX-30 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party96%
Republican Party2.50%
1637
TX-31 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party90%
Democratic Party8.50%
1638
TX-36 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party93%
Democratic Party7.85%
1639
TX-37 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party98%
Republican Party1.60%
1640
TX-38 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party89%
Democratic Party12%
1641
UT-04 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party95%
Democratic Party4.50%
1642
VA-08 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party96%
Republican Party2.70%
1643
VA-09 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party95%
Democratic Party5.50%
1644
VA-11 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party97%
Republican Party1.55%
1645
WA-01 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party3.05%
1646
WA-02 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party94%
Republican Party5.50%
1647
WA-06 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party95%
Republican Party4.50%
1648
WA-07 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party97%
Republican Party1.85%
1649
WA-10 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party94%
Republican Party5.50%
1650
WI-04 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democratic Party96%
Republican Party1.15%
1651
WI-05 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party94%
Democratic Party6.00%
1652
WI-07 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party92%
Democratic Party8.50%
1653
WV-01 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party97%
Democratic Party3.10%
1654
WV-02 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican Party96%
Democratic Party2.45%
1655
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 11か月後
9月30日4.10%
1656
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
政治出来高 -コメント 74か月後
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?2.80%
1657
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?
政治出来高 -コメント 3
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?4.90%
1658
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
政治出来高 -4か月後
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?3.55%
1659
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 64か月後
12月31日10%
1660
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
政治出来高 -コメント 304か月後
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?0.511%
1661
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 14か月後
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?3.45%
1662
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 14か月後
12月31日9.00%
1663
Will Alberta join the US?
政治出来高 -コメント 114か月後
Will Alberta join the US? 0.52.15%
1664
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
政治出来高 -コメント 34か月後
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?1.510%
1665
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?
政治出来高 -4か月後
12月31日20%
1666
Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?
政治出来高 -4か月後
12月31日0.531%
1667
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 311日後
AfD0.599%
CDU0.65%
他2件
1668
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
政治出来高 -コメント 111か月後
PL0.578%
MDB16%
他2件
1669
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held
政治出来高 -コメント 31か月後
PL85%
MDB0.64.40%
他2件
1670
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?0.520%
1671
Jimmy Lai released by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 14か月後
2026年12月31日2.25%
1672
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
政治出来高 -コメント 64か月後
Not revealed in 20266.077%
Gwendolyn Beck3.36.40%
他2件
1673
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 94か月後
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?1.028%
1674
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
政治出来高 -コメント 32.2年後
Will the next elected US president be a woman?0.528%
1675
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
政治出来高 -コメント 22.2年後
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?33%
1676
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
政治出来高 -コメント 12.2年後
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?2.70%
1677
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -2か月後
その他46%
Democrats 8-10%28%
他2件
1678
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?
政治出来高 -1か月後
9月30日9.80%
1679
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?
政治出来高 -7日後
8月31日2.25%
1680
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
政治出来高 -コメント 354か月後
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?1.90%
1681
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 34か月後
2026年12月31日1.011%
2026年9月30日4.15%
1682
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 24か月後
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar8.556%
Juan Reyes Mejía González55%
他2件
1683
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?8.50%
1684
Delaware Republican Senate Primary Winner
政治出来高 -20日後
Michael Katz1.088%
John Shulli0.812%
1685
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 44か月後
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?11%
1686
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?0.95.50%
1687
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
政治出来高 -コメント 222か月後
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?3.90%
1688
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
政治出来高 -2か月後
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?2.093%
1689
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
政治出来高 -2か月後
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?8.50%
1690
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
政治出来高 -2か月後
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?91%
1691
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 124か月後
12月31日4.50%
1692
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 254か月後
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?14%
1693
Spain snap election called in 2026?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Spain snap election called in 2026?1.517%
1694
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 14か月後
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?1.25%
1695
Spain snap election called by...?
政治出来高 -7日後
2026年8月31日1.11.10%
1696
US x Russia military clash by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 174か月後
2026年12月31日4.35%
1697
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 84か月後
12月31日0.57.00%
1698
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 24か月後
12月31日43%
9月30日1.014%
1699
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 37か月後
2027年3月31日8.00%
1700
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 124か月後
12月31日3.65%
1701
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 74か月後
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?6.00%
1702
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 34か月後
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?0.514%
1703
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
政治出来高 -コメント 264か月後
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?2.05%
1704
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?1.17.35%
1705
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
政治出来高 -4か月後
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?2.027%
1706
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 84か月後
12月31日0.538%
1707
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 24か月後
12月31日1.512%
1708
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 104か月後
9月30日25%
12月31日3.95%
1709
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?4.75%
1710
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 24か月後
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?6.00%
1711
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?13%
1712
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?0.524%
1713
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?7.530%
1714
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
政治出来高 -コメント 54か月後
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?0.518%
1715
X banned in any European country by December 31?
政治出来高 -コメント 74か月後
X banned in any European country by December 31?0.514%
1716
Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Mark Sutcliffe65%
Alex Lawson18%
他2件
1717
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?
政治出来高 -4か月後
2026年12月31日4.75%
1718
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 24か月後
12月31日0.56.50%
1719
Speaker of the House after the midterms?
政治出来高 -コメント 14か月後
Hakeem Jeffries4.075%
Mike Johnson1.111%
他2件
1720
Alcatraz reopened in 2026?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Alcatraz reopened in 2026?2.75%
1721
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 31か月後
9月30日12%
1722
Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?
政治出来高 -コメント 14か月後
Israel12%
Sudan11%
他2件
1723
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 114か月後
12月31日17%
1724
Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?25%
1725
フランス選挙、…の召集で?
政治出来高 -コメント 3144か月後
2026年12月31日4.60%
1726
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by...?
政治出来高 -1か月後
9月30日2.024%
1727
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 14か月後
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?12%
1728
António Guterres out by December 31?
政治出来高 -4か月後
António Guterres out by December 31?1.022%
1729
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
政治出来高 -4か月後
130%
422%
他2件
1730
SPLC found guilty in 2026?
政治出来高 -4か月後
SPLC found guilty in 2026?0.550%
1731
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 54か月後
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?1.030%
1732
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 124か月後
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?11%
1733
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 74か月後
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?0.52.90%
1734
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 24か月後
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?5.15%
1735
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 37日後
2026年8月31日1.05%
1736
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
政治出来高 -コメント 112か月後
Green Party54%
ACT New Zealand46%
他2件
1737
New Zealand Election: Turnout
政治出来高 -2か月後
78-80%37%
76-78%0.528%
他2件
1738
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
政治出来高 -コメント 12か月後
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)0.556%
1739
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
政治出来高 -4か月後
12月31日4.30%
1740
Will Trump visit North Korea by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 34か月後
12月31日13%
1741
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
政治出来高 -2か月後
National Party54%
Labour Party42%
他2件
1742
Who will Trump endorse?
政治出来高 -コメント 62か月後
John Cornyn - TX-Sen1.45%
1743
Trump goes to space in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 84か月後
Trump goes to space in 2026?1.65%
1744
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 374か月後
12月31日6.037%
1745
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
政治出来高 -コメント 3
PSD52%
USR38%
他2件
1746
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
政治出来高 -2か月後
November 22.518%
1747
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
政治出来高 -コメント 111か月後
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?1.590%
1748
Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
政治出来高 -1か月後
Darijana Filipović0.570%
Slaven Kovačević25%
他1件
1749
Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
政治出来高 -コメント 21か月後
Željka Cvijanović87%
Marinko Božović1.35.35%
他2件
1750
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?
政治出来高 -4か月後
12月31日1.494%
9月30日4.00%
他1件
1751
Nick Fuentes federally charged?
政治出来高 -コメント 31か月後
Nick Fuentes federally charged?0.80%
1752
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 24か月後
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?7.50%
1753
California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 12か月後
Fiona Ma93%
Rakesh Christian2.40%
他2件
1754
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by...?
政治出来高 -4か月後
12月31日31%
9月30日17%
1755
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 234か月後
12月31日5.50%
1756
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by...?
政治出来高 -4か月後
12月31日7.50%
1757
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
政治出来高 -18日後
Moderate Party (M)0.575%
Sweden Democrats (SD)1.523%
他2件
1758
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 164か月後
2026年12月31日2.016%
1759
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
政治出来高 -コメント 311か月後
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?11%
1760
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?6.50%
1761
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 14か月後
12月31日15.028%
1762
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
政治出来高 -2か月後
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?1.071%
1763
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?7.50%
1764
Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -1か月後
Luciano Zucco0.557%
Juliana Brizola1.034%
他2件
1765
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
政治出来高 -4か月後
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? 8.50%
1766
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 334か月後
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?93%
1767
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
政治出来高 -4か月後
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?5.90%
1768
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
政治出来高 -コメント 58か月後
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?9.50%
1769
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?
政治出来高 -4か月後
12月31日66%
9月30日0.511%
1770
Will Russia capture Stavky by...?
政治出来高 -1か月後
9月30日1.511%
1771
イスラエル・ハマス間の停戦破棄時期は?
政治出来高 -コメント 9794か月後
12月31日1.014%
1772
Alabama Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican93%
Democrat6.35%
1773
Arkansas Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican97%
Democrat1.80%
1774
Colorado Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democrat97%
Republican2.11.10%
1775
Connecticut Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democrat96%
Republican2.90%
1776
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democrat97%
Republican2.15%
1777
Illinois Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democrat96%
Republican3.75%
1778
Kansas Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican0.566%
Democrat0.534%
1779
Maryland Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 22か月後
Democrat97%
Republican2.90%
1780
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democrat96%
Republican3.45%
1781
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 42か月後
Amy Klobuchar (D)95%
Lisa Demuth (R)5.00%
1782
Nebraska Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican93%
Democrat7.50%
1783
Nevada Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 22か月後
Joe Lombardo (R)60%
Aaron Ford (D)41%
1784
Oklahoma Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican96%
Democrat4.50%
1785
Oregon Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democrat86%
Republican14%
1786
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democrat96%
Republican4.50%
1787
South Dakota Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican95%
Democrat4.35%
1788
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican96%
Democrat0.53.85%
1789
Vermont Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican87%
Democrat0.612%
1790
Wyoming Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Republican96%
Democrat3.65%
1791
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?
政治出来高 -コメント 2
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?3.821%
1792
Colorado Senate Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 12か月後
Democrat96%
Republican3.05%
1793
Delaware Senate Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democrat96%
Republican4.50%
1794
Montana Senate Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 42か月後
Republican93%
Independent7.70%
他1件
1795
New Jersey Senate Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 12か月後
Democrat97%
Republican3.20%
1796
New Mexico Senate Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 12か月後
Democrat96%
Republican3.55%
1797
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 22か月後
Roy Cooper (D)0.593%
Michael Whatley (R)0.58.50%
1798
Oregon Senate Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 12か月後
Democrat96%
Republican1.95%
1799
Rhode Island Senate Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Democrat96%
Republican3.85%
1800
South Dakota Senate Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 12か月後
Republican96%
Democrat1.20%
確率はポリマーケットの約定価格で、参加者が実際の資金を賭けて形成した値です。公式な予測ではなく、投資判断の根拠には適しません。毎朝一度の収集のため、日中の変動は反映されません。