ポリマーケット 政治 の確率

政治分野で公開中のポリマーケット市場2,472件です。取引額の大きい順に並べています。

2201
AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 0-3%–27%
Republican 3-6%–19%
他2件
2202
CO-01 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 65-70%▲0.831%
Democrat 60-65%▲0.521%
他2件
2203
CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 25-30%▲3.531%
Democrat 30-35%▼3.026%
他2件
2204
FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 25-30%–27%
Republican 20-25%▲2.526%
他2件
2205
FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 6-9%▲1.024%
Republican 3-6%–17%
他2件
2206
FL-13 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 3-6%–24%
Republican 0-3%–21%
他2件
2207
FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 25-30%▼0.541%
Democrat 20-25%▼2.022%
他2件
2208
FL-24 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 50-55%–36%
Democrat 55%+▼1.021%
他2件
2209
IA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 0-3%▲0.721%
Republican 0-3%–19%
他2件
2210
GA-07 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 10-15%▲0.528%
Republican 15-20%▲2.021%
他2件
2211
GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 25-30%–26%
Republican 30-35%–23%
他2件
2212
Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?
政治出来高 -6か月後
Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?–10%
2213
Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 13か月後
Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?▼1.09.50%
2214
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
政治出来高 -コメント 225日後
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?–98%
2215
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 23か月後
2026年12月31日–13%
2216
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
政治出来高 -コメント 225日後
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?–98%
2217
Victoria Mayoral Election
政治出来高 -8日後
Marianne Alto–96%
Melissa Cseszko–3.40%
2218
Burnaby Mayoral Election
政治出来高 -8日後
Mike Hurley–93%
Michael Angelo–3.85%
他1件
2219
Nanaimo Mayoral Election
政治出来高 -8日後
Leonard Krog–93%
Anne Marie Dryden–3.35%
2220
IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 30-35%–30%
Republican 25-30%▼0.522%
他2件
2221
KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 55-60%–28%
Republican 50-55%▼0.527%
他2件
2222
MA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 45-50%–32%
Democrat 40-45%–30%
他2件
2223
MD-03 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 35-40%▼1.033%
Democrat 30-35%–28%
他2件
2224
MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 80-85%▲1.033%
Democrat 85-90%▼0.522%
他2件
2225
MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 60-65%▼1.033%
Democrat 65-70%–31%
他2件
2226
MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 45-50%–28%
Democrat 50-55%–21%
他2件
2227
MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 25-30%–26%
Democrat 30-35%▼2.026%
他2件
2228
MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 40-45%▼0.532%
Republican 35-40%–24%
他2件
2229
Haiti elections delayed again?
政治出来高 -5か月後
Haiti elections delayed again?▲0.592%
2230
Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner
政治出来高 -1か月後
José Maria Neves–78%
Joana Rosa▼2.614%
他2件
2231
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
政治出来高 -25日後
3▲1.045%
4–24%
他2件
2232
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?
政治出来高 -25日後
10▼0.570%
9▲1.015%
他2件
2233
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Colorado?
政治出来高 -25日後
5–35%
6▲1.531%
他2件
2234
How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?
政治出来高 -25日後
5–46%
6+▼2.520%
他2件
2235
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?
政治出来高 -25日後
7▼1.037%
8–30%
他2件
2236
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
政治出来高 -25日後
5–54%
4–20%
他2件
2237
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
政治出来高 -25日後
7▼0.514%
12+▲0.514%
他2件
2238
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?
政治出来高 -25日後
6▲0.538%
7+▼0.530%
他2件
2239
Michigan Senate and Governor Combo
政治出来高 -25日後
Dems sweep–73%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate–16%
他2件
2240
New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo
政治出来高 -25日後
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate▼1.085%
Reps sweep–11%
他2件
2241
NC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 55-60%–32%
Democrat 50-55%▲1.028%
他2件
2242
NJ-03 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 25-30%–34%
Democrat 20-25%–31%
他2件
2243
NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 25-30%–20%
Republican 20-25%–18%
他2件
2244
NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 10-15%▼1.035%
Republican 15-20%▲0.533%
他2件
2245
NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 0-3%▲0.522%
Republican 3-6%–22%
他2件
2246
NV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 10-15%▼2.528%
Democrat 5-10%–23%
他2件
2247
OH-03 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 50-55%▲3.028%
Democrat 45-50%▼0.926%
他2件
2248
OH-08 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 5-10%▲1.531%
Republican 0-5%▼3.918%
他2件
2249
OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 12%+▼0.923%
Democrat 3-6%▲2.520%
他2件
2250
OH-12 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 20-25%▲0.534%
Republican 15-20%▼1.327%
他2件
2251
PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 0-3%▲2.523%
Democrat 0-3%–19%
他2件
2252
PA-12 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 30-35%–29%
Democrat 25-30%▲1.525%
他2件
2253
TN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 45-50%–29%
Republican 50-55%▼0.525%
他2件
2254
WI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 55-60%▲2.136%
Democrat 60-65%▲1.531%
他2件
2255
WV-02 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 25-30%–37%
Republican 30-35%▲1.026%
他2件
2256
WI-03 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 0-3%–24%
Democrat 6-9%▲4.022%
他2件
2257
VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 40-45%–28%
Democrat 45-50%▲0.522%
他2件
2258
TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 60-65%▲2.034%
Democrat 65-70%▲1.024%
他2件
2259
TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 3-6%▼1.020%
Democrat 0-3%–20%
他2件
2260
TX-02 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 10-15%–39%
Republican 15-20%–23%
他2件
2261
TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 35-40%▲4.524%
Democrat 45-50%–21%
他2件
2262
TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 9-12%–20%
Republican 6-9%–19%
他2件
2263
TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 35-40%▲2.431%
Democrat 25-30%▲3.824%
他2件
2264
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?
政治出来高 -3か月後
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?–4.00%
2265
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
政治出来高 -コメント 53か月後
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?–6.80%
2266
エプスタインの顧客リスト公開時期は?
政治出来高 -コメント 1,0493か月後
10月31日▲0.95.70%
2267
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
政治出来高 -3か月後
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?–3.65%
2268
Keelung Mayor Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Hsieh Kuo-liang▼1.075%
Tung Tzu-wei▲1.526%
2269
Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 12か月後
Chen Su-yueh–92%
Wei Ping-cheng–8.50%
他2件
2270
Nantou County Magistrate Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Hsu Shu-hua–96%
Wen Shih-cheng–3.35%
2271
Yunlin County Magistrate Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Chang Chia-chun▼0.583%
Liu Chien-kuo▲1.014%
2272
Chiayi County Magistrate Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Tsai Yi-yu–91%
Wu Pin-jui–8.50%
他1件
2273
Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 12か月後
Wang Mei-hui▲1.076%
Chang Chi-kai–21%
他2件
2274
Pingtung County Magistrate Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 32か月後
Chou Chun-mi▲0.588%
Su Ching-chuan–13%
2275
Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Wu Hsiu-hua▼4.079%
Chen Ying▲3.621%
他1件
2276
Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 12か月後
Chen Chen-chung▲1.064%
Wu Shu-chin▲0.518%
他2件
2277
Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
政治出来高 -2か月後
Chen Yu-jen▼0.595%
Li Wen-liang▲0.53.35%
他2件
2278
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?▲23.578%
2279
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-14 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-14 House Election?▼11.958%
2280
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?–74%
2281
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-12 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-12 House Election?▼0.594%
2282
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election?▼1.960%
2283
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-08 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-08 House Election?▼1.095%
2284
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-07 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-07 House Election?–96%
2285
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?–97%
2286
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?–61%
2287
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?▼1.591%
2288
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?–96%
2289
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?–95%
2290
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-06 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-06 House Election?▼0.93.90%
2291
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election?▲0.53.75%
2292
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-03 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-03 House Election?▼0.592%
2293
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?
政治出来高 -25日後
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?–98%
2294
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
政治出来高 -コメント 183か月後
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?▼0.54.50%
2295
Florida Senate Election: Turnout
政治出来高 -25日後
9M+▲5.324%
7.75M-8M–22%
他2件
2296
Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout
政治出来高 -25日後
1.4M-1.5M▲1.032%
1.5M-1.6M–25%
他2件
2297
Kansas Senate Election: Turnout
政治出来高 -25日後
1.1M-1.2M–52%
1M-1.1M▲1.527%
他2件
2298
Iowa Senate Election: Turnout
政治出来高 -25日後
1.45M-1.5M▲1.429%
1.4M-1.45M▲1.523%
他2件
2299
Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout
政治出来高 -25日後
370K-400K▲1.532%
430K-460K▲1.019%
他2件
2300
Rhode Island Senate Election: Turnout
政治出来高 -25日後
350K-400K▼0.856%
300K-350K▼8.519%
他2件
2301
Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout
政治出来高 -25日後
2.6M-2.8M–39%
2.8M-3M–28%
他2件
2302
West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
政治出来高 -25日後
450K-500K–45%
400K-450K▲1.033%
他2件
2303
Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout
政治出来高 -25日後
2.8M-2.95M–35%
2.65M-2.8M–30%
他2件
2304
Next Mayor of Cape Town?
政治出来高 -26日後
Geordin Hill-Lewis–88%
Khalid Sayed–4.15%
他2件
2305
Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?
政治出来高 -26日後
Princess Faku▲1.088%
Ncedo Kumbaca▲0.59.50%
他2件
2306
Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)?
政治出来高 -26日後
Werner Pretorius–35%
Vusimuzi Soqaga▼10.121%
他2件
2307
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
政治出来高 -25日後
民主党▼1.068%
共和党▲2.022%
他1件
2308
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
政治出来高 -3か月後
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?–2.45%
2309
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
政治出来高 -3か月後
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?–11%
2310
US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 13か月後
12月31日▲1.517%
2311
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 23か月後
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?–3.00%
2312
Will Iran target Egypt by...?
政治出来高 -22日後
10月31日–2.05%
2313
Will Iran target Qatar by...?
政治出来高 -22日後
10月31日▼1.07.00%
2314
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
政治出来高 -コメント 13か月後
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?▲2.047%
2315
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
政治出来高 -3か月後
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?▲2.556%
2316
Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?
政治出来高 -3か月後
UAE–79%
Qatar–74%
他1件
2317
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
政治出来高 -3か月後
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?▼2.84.80%
2318
Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by...?
政治出来高 -3か月後
12月31日▼0.58.00%
10月31日▼0.51.60%
2319
Abia, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Otti Alex Chioma–91%
Eric Opah▼0.54.85%
他2件
2320
Akwa Ibom, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Eno Umo Bassey–71%
John James Akpanudoedehe▼2.518%
他2件
2321
Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar▼1.041%
Yakubu Adamu▼5.514%
他2件
2322
Borno, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Mustapha Gubio–86%
Ibrahim Abba Gana▼0.67.15%
他1件
2323
Ebonyi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna–80%
Ifeanyi Chukwuma Odii▼3.99.30%
他1件
2324
Enugu, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Mbah Peter Ndubuisi–76%
James Ene Nwannaji–13%
他2件
2325
Jigawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Namadi Umar Alhaji▼0.589%
Mustapha Sule Lamido–1.65%
2326
Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Abba Kabir Yusuf▲15.043%
Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo–12%
他2件
2327
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
政治出来高 -25日後
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?▼1.076%
2328
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?
政治出来高 -25日後
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?▲0.532%
2329
Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Solomon Olamilekan Adeola–76%
Rotimi Babajide–12%
他2件
2330
Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh–80%
Kefas Ropshik▼1.513%
他2件
2331
Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Baba Wali–87%
Kassim Gana Geidam–7.25%
他2件
2332
Zamfara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Dauda Lawal–87%
Hamza Musa Mai Bulawus▲0.58.05%
他2件
2333
Sokoto, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Ahmed Aliyu▼7.056%
Manir Muhammad Dan Iya▲0.524%
他2件
2334
Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?
政治出来高 -3か月後
Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?–13%
2335
Another Canada election called by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 403か月後
2026年12月31日–4.30%
2336
CA-27 House Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 125日後
George Whitesides (D)▲0.596%
Jason Gibbs (R)–2.60%
2337
New Westminster, BC Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -8日後
Patrick Johnstone▼2.553%
Daniel Fontaine▲0.528%
2338
Brampton, ON Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 117日後
Patrick Brown▲0.792%
Sandeep Somal–7.20%
他2件
2339
Kitchener, ON Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -17日後
Berry Vrbanovic–94%
David Alton–3.90%
他2件
2340
Windsor, ON Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -17日後
Drew Dilkens–66%
Fred Francis–28%
他2件
2341
St. Catharines, ON Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -17日後
Mat Siscoe–95%
Ann-Marie Zammit–2.65%
他2件
2342
Cambridge, ON Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -17日後
Scott Hamilton–59%
Jan Liggett▼2.014%
他2件
2343
Peterborough, ON Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -17日後
Neil Morton▼0.543%
Michael Eamon▼1.028%
他2件
2344
Brandon, MB Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -19日後
Len Isleifson▼5.549%
Jeff Fawcett–44%
2345
Katsina, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -4か月後
Umaru Dikko Radda▼0.579%
Garba Yakubu Lado▲0.512%
2346
Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?
政治出来高 -22日後
Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?–0.55%
2347
Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026?
政治出来高 -3か月後
Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026?–2.85%
2348
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?
政治出来高 -コメント 122日後
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?–4.60%
2349
Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?
政治出来高 -25日後
Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?–73%
2350
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
政治出来高 -22日後
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?–1.55%
2351
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
政治出来高 -3か月後
US▲1.031%
Australia▼1.516%
他2件
2352
Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?
政治出来高 -22日後
10月31日–12%
2353
Nigerian House of Representatives Election Winner
政治出来高 -3か月後
APC–77%
LP–8.15%
他2件
2354
Bratislava Region Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -15日後
Juraj Droba–97%
Rastislav Gajarský–3.05%
2355
Trenčín Region Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -15日後
Jaroslav Baška–96%
Natália Svítková–3.85%
2356
Nitra Region Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -15日後
Branislav Becík▲2.286%
Henrich Varga▲1.17.95%
他1件
2357
Banská Bystrica Region Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -15日後
Ondrej Lunter–95%
Miroslav Suja–1.55%
他1件
2358
Košice Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -15日後
Jaroslav Polaček–45%
Ladislav Lörinc▼3.040%
他2件
2359
Žilina Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -15日後
Peter Fiabáne–74%
Rastislav Johanes▼2.524%
他2件
2360
Poprad Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -15日後
Anton Danko▲0.585%
Mikuláš Bobák–15%
他1件
2361
Next Mayor of Olomouc
政治出来高 -本日終了
Miroslava Ferancová▲2.596%
Otakar Štěpán Bačák–1.70%
他2件
2362
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
政治出来高 -25日後
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?–23%
2363
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 13か月後
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?▲2.016%
2364
Michigan Senate Election: Genesee County Winner
政治出来高 -25日後
Abdul El-Sayed (D)–85%
Mike Rogers (R)▲0.512%
2365
Michigan Senate Election: Oakland County Winner
政治出来高 -25日後
Abdul El-Sayed (D)–91%
Mike Rogers (R)–9.50%
2366
Texas Senate Election: Fort Bend County Winner
政治出来高 -25日後
James Talarico (民主党)▲0.594%
Ken Paxton (共和党)–1.85%
2367
Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner
政治出来高 -25日後
Aaron Ford (D)–64%
Joe Lombardo (R)–37%
2368
Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner
政治出来高 -25日後
Angie Nixon (D)–100%
Ashley Moody (R)–0.45%
2369
Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner
政治出来高 -25日後
Katie Hobbs (D)–87%
Andy Biggs (R)▲0.511%
2370
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?
政治出来高 -22日後
10月31日▼0.538%
2371
Daejon Love convicted of fraud or conspiracy by June 30?
政治出来高 -9か月後
Daejon Love convicted of fraud or conspiracy by June 30?–44%
2372
Which party will win young men in the midterms?
政治出来高 -28日後
Democrats▲0.586%
Republicans▲0.514%
2373
GOP Black vote share?
政治出来高 -28日後
10–11%–28%
8–9%▼1.522%
他2件
2374
Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 5%+▲1.042%
Democrat 5-10%▲2.042%
他2件
2375
California Governor Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Becerra 25-30%–36%
Becerra 20-25%–35%
他2件
2376
CA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 25-30%▲0.539%
Democrat 5-10%▼0.538%
他2件
2377
CA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 30-35%–38%
Democrat 40-45%–38%
他2件
2378
CA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 5-10%–38%
Democrat 25-30%–38%
他2件
2379
CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 25-30%–40%
Republican 0-5%–39%
他2件
2380
CA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 10-15%–39%
Democrat 0-5%–39%
他2件
2381
CA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 15-25%–41%
Democrat 25-30%–38%
他2件
2382
CA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 25-30%▲2.541%
Democrat 30%+–39%
他2件
2383
CA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 35-40%▲2.040%
Democrat 55%+–39%
他2件
2384
CA-13 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 25%+▼0.538%
Democrat 20-25%▼0.538%
他2件
2385
CA-15 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 65%+–39%
Democrat 35-40%–39%
他2件
2386
CA-17 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 20-30%▲3.542%
Democrat 50-55%▲2.041%
他2件
2387
CA-18 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 20-25%▲0.539%
Republican Wins▲1.038%
他2件
2388
CA-19 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 25-30%▲2.040%
Republican Wins▲0.938%
他2件
2389
CA-20 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 0-5%–39%
Republican 35-40%▲0.539%
他2件
2390
CA-22 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 3-6%▲0.839%
Republican 3-6%▲0.538%
他2件
2391
CA-24 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 35-40%–38%
Democrat 25-30%–38%
他2件
2392
CA-25 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 15-20%–39%
Democrat 10-15%–39%
他2件
2393
CA-26 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican Wins▲1.039%
Democrat 20-25%▲0.539%
他2件
2394
CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 35-40%–39%
Democrat 0-5%–38%
他2件
2395
AL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 5%+–39%
Republican 0-5%▼0.936%
他2件
2396
CA-33 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 20-25%▲0.539%
Democrat 0-5%–39%
他2件
2397
CA-30 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 40-45%–38%
Democrat 60%+▼0.538%
他2件
2398
CA-31 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 20-25%–39%
Democrat 25-30%–38%
他2件
2399
CA-32 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Democrat 40-45%▼0.538%
Democrat 5-15%–38%
他2件
2400
TX-38 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -25日後
Republican 30%+–39%
Democrat Wins–39%
他2件
確率はポリマーケットの約定価格で、参加者が実際の資金を賭けて形成した値です。公式な予測ではなく、投資判断の根拠には適しません。毎朝一度の収集のため、日中の変動は反映されません。