Oil Price Plunge Fuels Risk-On Recovery; AI Value Portfolio Report Nears 34% Return

Risk appetite returns as oil prices plunge… 'AI Value Investing Portfolio' nears 34% return

Seoul's market closed steadily on the 4th, with the KOSPI rising 0.62% from the previous day to finish at 5,683.8. The U.S. market was even hotter. The Dow Jones surged 2.92% in a single day, while the Nasdaq climbed 1.91%, signaling a clear return of risk appetite. The volatility index (VIX) plunged 18% in a day, showing market tension easing considerably. Amid this, the AI Value Investing Portfolio continues its solid performance with a cumulative return of +34.06% and a valuation of $13,405.

Catching its breath after a surge… but the trend is alive

A look at the five-day asset trend reveals an interesting picture. After hitting $15,111 on October 29, the portfolio slid to $13,007 by November 3 before bouncing back today. Considering the semiconductor index plunged 3.21% the previous day, recovering about 3% in a single day is no small feat. This reflects the underlying strength of key holdings such as NVIDIA and AMD.

Holdings diagnosis — the value axis and the momentum axis

Stock	Quantity	Purchase Price	Current Price	PER
NVIDIA	24.00 shares	$184.21	$206.69	26.1
AMD	6.47 shares	$198.62	$483.90	123.4
Broadcom	5.67 shares	$326.03	$332.13	42.4
Micron	1.30 shares	$930.96	$855.10	11.5
Intel	2.80 shares	$104.56	$60.55	-
Meta	0.55 shares	$653.56	$621.03	21.2
Amazon	1.95 shares	$208.39	$250.69	20.3
TSMC	0.44 shares	$431.81	$404.80	26.2
SOXL	13.92 shares	$71.22	$73.12	-
TQQQ	1.13 shares	$76.34	$60.55	-

This portfolio's backbone rests on 'assets that are cheap relative to growth.' Micron's stock price is set very low relative to its earnings scale, falling well short of expectations even factoring in its growth rate. NVIDIA, despite having already proven its status as a market leader, trades at a comfortable price level given its pace of growth. AMD, on the other hand, has seen short-term gains exceed 140%, pushing its price level well above its earnings. This means growth expectations are largely priced in, making it natural to read this as a zone of mounting profit-taking pressure. Intel remains mired in losses, warranting a wait-and-see approach until a recovery scenario is confirmed.

Trade review — repeated position management and reallocation to undervalued names

Date	Type	Stock	Quantity	Price
2026-10-30	Buy	TSMC	0.44 shares	$431.81
2026-10-30	Sell	AMD	0.34 shares	$566.42
2026-10-23	Buy	Micron	0.47 shares	$856.49
2026-10-23	Sell	NVIDIA	1.26 shares	$212.21
2026-10-23	Sell	AMD	0.36 shares	$507.93
2026-10-16	Buy	Micron	0.31 shares	$931.24
2026-10-16	Sell	NVIDIA	1.33 shares	$217.23
2026-10-09	Buy	Micron	0.11 shares	$1,035.84
2026-10-09	Sell	TQQQ	0.06 shares	$80.23
2026-10-09	Sell	SOXL	0.73 shares	$142.52

The past month of trading shows a consistent rhythm: taking partial profits from surging AMD and NVIDIA positions, then using those funds to buy relatively undervalued Micron and TSMC within the same sector in tranches. This strategy maintains AI exposure while reducing single-stock concentration risk, and effectively 'treats corrections as opportunities' by adding to positions on sharp declines. Notably, the three separate purchases of Micron reflect conviction in strong HBM and memory supply-demand conditions, combined with a approach prepared for price volatility.

Outlook — the questions posed by plunging oil and rising gold

Indicators are sending mixed signals. WTI crude's 7.6% one-day collapse is a positive, easing inflation pressures and expanding consumer spending power. Indeed, the won-dollar exchange rate has fallen to the low 1,340s, boosting expectations for a stronger won and foreign capital inflows. However, gold's surge of more than 3% suggests safe-haven demand has not fully receded, and the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield holding near a high 4.9% remains a burden on equity valuations. As the semiconductor sector continues its short-term correction, this portfolio's valuation-focused approach should remain a valid compass into the next phase.

※ This report analyzes the simulated performance of the AI Value Investing Portfolio and does not constitute investment advice. Actual investments should be made at your own discretion and responsibility.