0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?
Polymarket traders put "0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?" at 8.0%. Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $32 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲0.58%
PoliticsVol $32Total volume $15KLiquidity $17Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
8.00%
▲0.5
Probability over time
December 31
2026-09-12 ~ 2026-11-03 · y-axis %
