Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket traders put "Democrats Sweep" at 62.5% on "Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $696K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrats Sweep
▼1.063%
PoliticsVol $696KTotal volume $20.6MLiquidity $7.4MComments 359in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrats Sweep
62.5%
▼1.0
R Senate, D House
28.5%
▲1.0
Republicans Sweep
8.50%
–
D Senate, R House
0.85%
–
Other
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Democrats Sweep
R Senate, D House
Republicans Sweep
D Senate, R House
Other
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
