Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Most likely right now
Democrats Sweep
–48%
PoliticsVol $29KTotal volume $10.4MLiquidity $976KComments 262in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrats Sweep
47.5%
–
R Senate, D House
38.5%
–
Republicans Sweep
11.5%
–
D Senate, R House
1.00%
–
Other
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
