Which party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Democratic Party" at 90.5% on "Which party will win the House in 2026?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $423K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democratic Party
▼1.091%
PoliticsVol $423KTotal volume $15.3MLiquidity $4.4MComments 4in 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democratic Party
90.5%
▼1.0
Republican Party
9.50%
▲1.0
Probability over time
Democratic Party
Republican Party
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
