Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX)
Polymarket traders put "AK, ME, MI, OH, TX" at 36.5% on "Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX)". $8.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 128 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX
–37%
PoliticsVol $8.9KTotal volume $8.9KLiquidity $10.0Kin 8 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 27 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX
36.5%
–
IA, ME, MI, TX
36.5%
–
ME, MI
36.5%
–
MI, OH
36.5%
–
None
36.5%
–
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX
36.0%
–
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH
36.0%
–
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX
36.0%
–
AK, IA, KS, OH
36.0%
–
AK, IA, MI, OH
36.0%
–
IA, KS, MI, TX
36.0%
–
IA, ME, OH, TX
36.0%
–
AK, IA, MI
36.0%
–
AK, IA, OH
36.0%
–
AK, KS, OH
36.0%
–
AK, ME, MI
36.0%
–
AK, ME, OH
36.0%
–
IA, KS, ME
36.0%
–
IA, KS, MI
36.0%
–
IA, ME, TX
36.0%
–
IA, MI, TX
36.0%
–
IA, OH, TX
36.0%
–
KS, MI, OH
36.0%
–
ME, MI, TX
36.0%
–
ME, OH, TX
36.0%
–
AK, IA
36.0%
–
AK, KS
36.0%
–
AK, ME
36.0%
–
AK, MI
36.0%
–
AK, TX
36.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
