2026 Midterms: House Turnout

Most likely right now
120-125m
0.525%
PoliticsVol $60Total volume $24KLiquidity $89Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
120-125m
25.0%
0.5
115-120m
18.5%
2.0
125-130m
15.5%
0.5
130m+
11.2%
4.0
110-115m
11.0%
105-110m
8.50%
6.9
95-100m
3.00%
90-95m
2.60%
100-105m
2.10%
<85m
1.45%
85-90m
0.40%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.