2026 Midterms: House Turnout

Polymarket traders put "115-120m" at 33.0% on "2026 Midterms: House Turnout". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $53 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
115-120m
▼1.533%
PoliticsVol $53Total volume $35KLiquidity $207Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
115-120m
33.0%
▼1.5
110-115m
17.0%
▼2.0
120-125m
15.0%
▼0.5
130m+
11.8%
▼0.7
125-130m
11.5%
▲0.5
105-110m
9.30%
▲1.4
100-105m
4.30%
–
90-95m
3.05%
–
95-100m
2.95%
▲0.7
<85m
0.25%
–
85-90m
0.15%
–

Probability over time

115-120m
110-115m
120-125m
130m+
125-130m
105-110m
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.