Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Most likely right now
August 31
0.597%
PoliticsVol $49KTotal volume $26.3MLiquidity $343KComments 215in 7 days (Aug 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
August 31
97.4%
0.5
September 30
88.5%
1.0
October 31
81.5%
7.0
December 31
70.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.