2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

Most likely right now
Kuomintang (KMT)
92%
PoliticsVol $22Total volume $153KLiquidity $169KComments 39in 3 months (Nov 28)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Kuomintang (KMT)
92.0%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
8.60%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.