2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Most likely right now
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
–96%
PoliticsVol $12KTotal volume $314KLiquidity $564KComments 71in 8 months (Apr 17)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96.2%
–
Nathalie Arthaud
89.0%
▼3.5
Marine Le Pen
87.0%
▼0.5
Fabien Roussel
85.5%
▲7.5
Édouard Philippe
84.5%
–
Bruno Retailleau
80.5%
–
Raphaël Glucksmann
69.5%
▲0.5
Éric Zemmour
57.0%
▼10.5
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
56.5%
–
David Lisnard
48.0%
–
Sarah Knafo
44.0%
▲4.5
François Ruffin
32.5%
▼3.5
Dominique de Villepin
31.0%
▼0.5
Gabriel Attal
28.0%
▼2.0
François Hollande
27.5%
–
Marine Tondelier
24.5%
▼1.5
Juan Branco
16.0%
▲0.5
François Asselineau
14.5%
▲3.0
Olivier Faure
14.1%
▼0.7
Jordan Bardella
12.6%
–
Xavier Bertrand
12.5%
–
Bernard Cazeneuve
10.3%
▲7.6
Jérôme Guedj
10.0%
▲0.5
Élisabeth Borne
8.40%
▲6.1
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
8.00%
▲1.5
Delphine Batho
8.00%
▲4.9
Carole Delga
7.80%
▲4.4
Yaël Braun-Pivet
7.75%
▲3.4
Michel Barnier
7.60%
▲5.5
Manuel Bompard
7.50%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
