2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Polymarket traders put "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 94.9% on "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?". Up 0.7%p from yesterday. $3.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 46 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.
Most likely right now
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
▲0.795%
PoliticsVol $3.0KTotal volume $511KLiquidity $710KComments 105in 9 months (Jul 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
94.9%
▲0.7
Édouard Philippe
91.5%
▲0.5
Marine Le Pen
91.0%
–
Nathalie Arthaud
88.0%
–
Éric Zemmour
86.0%
–
Fabien Roussel
81.5%
▲2.5
David Lisnard
73.5%
▲1.0
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
65.0%
▼1.5
Raphaël Glucksmann
58.5%
▲0.5
Bruno Retailleau
56.0%
▼0.5
François Hollande
34.5%
▼4.0
Dominique de Villepin
31.0%
▼1.5
Marine Tondelier
26.5%
▼0.5
François Ruffin
24.5%
–
Gabriel Attal
19.5%
▼0.5
François Asselineau
16.5%
▼2.0
Xavier Bertrand
12.5%
–
Olivier Faure
11.1%
–
Sarah Knafo
11.0%
▼4.0
Matthieu Pigasse
10.5%
▼2.0
Bernard Cazeneuve
10.3%
–
Juan Branco
9.50%
▲0.5
Delphine Batho
9.40%
–
Jordan Bardella
7.00%
▲0.6
Élisabeth Borne
6.90%
–
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
6.50%
▲1.5
Michel Barnier
6.40%
–
Yaël Braun-Pivet
5.70%
–
Jérôme Guedj
5.60%
–
Jean Castex
5.50%
▲0.8
Probability over time
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Édouard Philippe
Marine Le Pen
Nathalie Arthaud
Éric Zemmour
Fabien Roussel
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
