2028 Presidential Election: Arizona Winner

Polymarket traders put "Democratic Party" at 48.0% on "2028 Presidential Election: Arizona Winner". $867 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.

Most likely right now
Democratic Party
–48%
PoliticsVol $867Total volume $867Liquidity $30Kin 2 years (Nov 8)
Current probability

Oct 28 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democratic Party
48.0%
–
Republican Party
21.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.