Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Polymarket traders put "20-24" at 35.5% on "Israel Election: Likud # of seats?". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. $23K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 28.

Most likely right now
20-24
▼2.536%
PoliticsVol $23KTotal volume $436KLiquidity $265KComments 6in 19 days (Oct 28)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
20-24
35.5%
▼2.5
25-29
27.5%
–
<20
15.6%
▼1.8
30-34
13.5%
▼1.0
35+
2.15%
–

Probability over time

20-24
25-29
<20
30-34
35+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.