Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Likud" at 52.5% on "Israeli Legislative Election Winner". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $9.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 28.

Most likely right now
Likud
▲2.053%
PoliticsVol $9.3KTotal volume $619KLiquidity $423KComments 13in 19 days (Oct 28)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Likud
52.5%
▲2.0
Yashar
48.5%
▼2.0
Together
0.40%
–
Shas
0.05%
–
The Democrats
0.05%
–
Otzma Yehudit
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Likud
Yashar
Together
Shas
The Democrats
Otzma Yehudit
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.