2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

Polymarket traders put "JD Vance" at 82.0% on "2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?". $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
JD Vance
–82%
PoliticsVol $2.6KTotal volume $2.6KLiquidity $54Kin 2 months (Nov 30)
Current probability

Oct 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
JD Vance
82.0%
–
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.5%
–
Other
3.05%
–
Kamala Harris
1.15%
–
Gavin Newsom
0.50%
–
Marco Rubio
0.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.