Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?" at 4.5%. $2 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?
–4%
PoliticsVol $2Total volume $13KLiquidity $12Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?
4.45%
–

Probability over time

Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?
02550751009/2510/310/1110/1910/2711/411/9
2026-09-25 ~ 2026-11-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.