Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?" at 13.5%. $12K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?
–14%
PoliticsVol $12KTotal volume $12KLiquidity $15Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?
13.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.