Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Polymarket traders put "Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?" at 2.8%. Unchanged from yesterday. $498 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 1.
Most likely right now
October 31
–3%
PoliticsVol $498Total volume $99KLiquidity $26KComments 2Closed (Oct 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 31
2.80%
–
Probability over time
October 31
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
