Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Polymarket traders put "Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?" at 0.5%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Sep 1.

Most likely right now
August 31
1%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $88KLiquidity $30KComments 2in 7 days (Sep 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
August 31
0.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.