Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Polymarket traders put "Peltola 6-9%" at 20.0% on "Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $721 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Peltola 6-9%
▲5.520%
PoliticsVol $721Total volume $721Liquidity $19Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Peltola 6-9%
20.0%
▲5.5
Sullivan 6-9%
15.0%
▼5.0
Sullivan 9-12%
14.0%
▼6.0
Peltola 0-3%
13.5%
▼6.5
Peltola 3-6%
13.0%
▼5.5
Sullivan 0-3%
12.5%
▼1.5
Peltola 12+%
12.5%
–
Sullivan 3-6%
9.00%
▼11.0
Sullivan 12+%
4.15%
▼15.8
Peltola 9-12%
3.30%
▼15.2
Probability over time
Peltola 6-9%
Sullivan 6-9%
Sullivan 9-12%
Peltola 0-3%
Peltola 3-6%
Sullivan 0-3%
2026-09-18 ~ 2026-09-19 · y-axis %
