Alaska Senate Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Mary Peltola" at 73.5% on "Alaska Senate Election Winner". $26K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Mary Peltola
–74%
PoliticsVol $26KTotal volume $1.2MLiquidity $801KComments 15in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Mary Peltola
73.5%
–
Sen. Dan Sullivan
26.5%
▼1.0
Ann Diener
0.05%
–
Dustin Darden
0.05%
–
Richard Grayson
0.05%
–
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
0.05%
–
David Leslie
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Mary Peltola
Sen. Dan Sullivan
Ann Diener
Dustin Darden
Richard Grayson
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.