Another commercial vessel struck in Black Sea by…?
Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 84.5% on "Another commercial vessel struck in Black Sea by…?". $141 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
November 30
–85%
PoliticsVol $141Total volume $141Liquidity $327in 1 months (Dec 1)
Current probability
Oct 28 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
November 30
84.5%
–
November 15
74.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
