Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?

Most likely right now
September 30
3.527%
PoliticsVol $116Total volume $20KLiquidity $10Kin 2 months (Oct 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 30
26.5%
3.5
October 31
20.5%
5.0
August 31
4.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.