Another NATO article 4 by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 28.5% on "Another NATO article 4 by...?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $2.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲0.528%
PoliticsVol $2.5KTotal volume $180KLiquidity $41Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
28.5%
▲0.5
October 31
7.50%
▼1.0
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
