Anthropic lab leak by...?

Polymarket traders put "June 30, 2027" at 7.0% on "Anthropic lab leak by...?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $343 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
▼0.57%
TechVol $343Total volume $165KLiquidity $59Kin 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Nov 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
7.00%
▼0.5
December 31, 2026
2.30%
–

Probability over time

June 30, 2027
December 31, 2026
02550751009/209/2910/810/1710/2611/411/7
2026-09-20 ~ 2026-11-07 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.