Anthropic lab leak by...?

Polymarket traders put "June 30, 2027" at 10.5% on "Anthropic lab leak by...?". $21K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
11%
TechVol $21KTotal volume $21KLiquidity $73Kin 9 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Sep 20 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
10.5%
December 31, 2026
3.55%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.