António Guterres out by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "António Guterres out by December 31?" at 20.5%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
António Guterres out by December 31?
0.521%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $2.2KLiquidity $206in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
António Guterres out by December 31?
20.5%
0.5

Probability over time

António Guterres out by December 31?
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.